Following the identification of iron ore shipping routes between Western Australia and East Asia as high-potential candidates for establishing a green shipping corridor powered by zero or near-zero carbon ammonia, a task force of fifteen industry representatives from across the value chain has convened under the Getting to Zero Coalition to explore the implementation of the corridor.
Over the past year, the group has undertaken several activities to support its development.
A May 2023 feasibility study by four task force members5 found that the availability of ammonia-powered ships, access to zero or near-zero carbon ammonia, and the availability of bunkering infrastructure could, given a set of conditions, be in place to enable the corridor’s kick off by 2028 and achieve 5% uptake of zero or near-zero carbon ammonia on the route by 2030 , in line with the International Maritime Organization (IMO)’s fuel uptake target in its revised greenhouse gas (GHG) strategy .
The wider task force has also produced a shared roadmap identifying the actions needed to realize these goals.
Meanwhile, many of the individual companies have already signaled their willingness to act by initiating activities related to the ordering of ammonia-powered vessels and services, production of zero or near-zero carbon ammonia, and development of bunkering infrastructure.
The task force believes that developing a zero or near-zero carbon ammonia-powered green shipping corridor on this route could help accelerate the global decarbonisation of shipping, reduce emissions regionally, and generate benefits for Australia that support its national strategic priorities.
However, a critical barrier to realizing this green corridor is the significant cost gap of running a ship on zero or near-zero carbon ammonia versus conventional marine fuel. The global production cost of zero or near-zero carbon ammonia is forecasted to be significantly more expensive than conventional marine fuel through at least 2030, and an independent, third-party assessment has been undertaken to further explore the cost gap ranges for this specific corridor.
This cost differential creates a substantial gap in the business case for green shipping corridors and is recognized as the main area where government intervention is likely to be required.
Task force members said they recognize the industry’s important role in absorbing some of the costs and are exploring innovative commercial arrangements that can help specify how to balance costs and risks along the value chain.
However, as evidenced in several studies, the cost gap cannot be bridged by industry levers alone. The task force believes that national policy support and regional government collaboration are essential to realize this corridor.
This paper provides the case for why Australia would benefit from taking supportive action to help the establishment of a green corridor out of Western Australia.
Specifically, a green shipping corridor would serve as a vehicle for Australia’s energy transition. In addition, it would future-proof the shipping of Australia’s most valuable export commodity – iron ore. Finally, a green shipping corridor would be aligned with Australia’s shipping decarbonization ambitions .
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The paper offers three different scenarios for how the corridor could be implemented and a menu of policy options for consideration by the Australian government.
The three scenarios for the implementation of a green maritime route: